Bitcoin, Crypto, BTC, Blockchain, CryptoNews, Investing: XRP Deaton Prediction Was Right

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Welcome to a deep dive into the latest buzz around XRP, Bitcoin, and the crypto market, brought to you with the same fiery energy and no-nonsense style you expect from the best in the business. If you’ve been following the crypto space, you know it’s a rollercoaster of hype, regulation, and price swings. Today, we unpack some hot takes from industry insiders like John Deaton and Ripple executives, examine the real impact of the MiCA regulation’s first year, and dissect what’s actually moving the needle in crypto investing. Spoiler alert: it’s not always what you think.

Let’s get into it.

The XRP Strategic Reserve: John Deaton’s “I Told You So” Moment

John Deaton, a well-known XRP advocate and former employee advocate, recently broke his silence with a message that some might call prophetic: the strategic reserve buying strategy that he predicted is indeed happening, and it’s shaping the market quietly but surely.

Deaton has long argued that Wall Street wouldn’t sit idly by while others capitalized on XRP’s potential. His point? Greed is a powerful motivator, and institutional players would eventually copycat the “Saylor BTC strategic reserve” model, but with XRP. He was right.

Currently, between 60 and 100 companies are implementing a Bitcoin strategic reserve strategy, and eight companies have started doing the same with XRP. Some of the names Deaton mentioned include Vivo Power, Worksport, Hyperscale, Weavas, and Logistics. These companies are staking their claim on XRP, waiting for the right moment — and regulatory clarity — to push buying volumes higher.

But here’s the kicker: despite this growing interest, XRP’s price hasn’t exploded yet. Why? Because the biggest catalyst so far remains the U.S. election cycle, not strategic reserve buying. Bitcoin, for instance, is only 4% away from its all-time high, while XRP is still 43% shy, and Ethereum is 49% behind.

This suggests that while strategic reserve buying is helping create a strong price floor, especially for Bitcoin, it’s not a magic bullet for instant price surges across all cryptos.

Why XRP ETFs Are Inevitable

Exchanges love volume and liquidity because they make money from it. XRP’s daily trading volume is a staggering $2.18 billion, far surpassing many other altcoins like Cardano (ADA) at $750 million or Stellar (XLM) at just $157 million. This volume makes XRP an attractive candidate for more products, including ETFs.

We see players like WisdomTree and Franklin Templeton eyeing XRP ETFs because these products can generate significant fees and attract more institutional money. The simple business logic here is: if there’s demand and volume, products will follow.

Think about it like this — stores stock what sells. In the U.S., vape shops are everywhere because the markup is insane and people keep buying. You don’t see a ton of stores popping up selling super veggie produce because, well, the market isn’t there. Crypto exchanges are no different. They’ll launch ETFs and products on the cryptos that have the juice — and XRP fits that bill.

MiCA Regulation Turns One: Did It Deliver the Crypto Boom?

The Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation in the European Union turned one year old recently, prompting a lot of reflection on what it’s accomplished and what it hasn’t. The hype was real — many expected MiCA to be the catalyst for a massive influx of liquidity and a crypto boom. Reality? Not so much.

MiCA has undoubtedly helped regulate the European crypto market, especially stablecoins. But the grand promises of “boom time” have fallen flat. A quick look at various cryptocurrencies like SWE and XLM shows their biggest pumps coincided with U.S. elections — not MiCA’s implementation.

Moreover, Tether (USDT), which many predicted would crumble under MiCA’s rules, remains the third-largest stablecoin by market cap at $157 billion. That’s a strong signal that MiCA didn’t exactly crush the status quo.

One major issue is the loophole problem. Stablecoin issuers based outside the EU continue to import tokens into the European market without adhering to MiCA’s compliance. This creates a backdoor that undermines consumer protection and gives offshore issuers an unfair advantage.

As Bussmann, a crypto regulation expert, warns, MiCA’s goal of creating a level playing field remains at risk unless these loopholes are closed. Regulators need to clarify reserve requirements, especially for foreign-issued stablecoins, to safeguard consumers and ensure fair competition.

Bottom line: MiCA was a good start, but it’s not the game-changer many hoped for. The crypto market is still waiting for that juicy catalyst.

Ripple’s RLUSD Volume Claims: Billions or Millions?

In an interview at the Dubai Fintech Summit, Ripple’s senior executive, Rhys Merrick, made headlines by claiming that RLUSD (Ripple’s stablecoin) processes $10 billion in daily volume. Sounds impressive, right? Well, not so fast.

Upon closer inspection, RLUSD’s market cap is around $400 million, and its actual daily trading volume is closer to $29 million. That’s a far cry from $10 billion.

VET, a crypto analytics firm, clarified that the $3.65 trillion analyzed volume is hypothetical, and Merrick likely meant to say millions, not billions. The difference is massive, and repeatedly saying “billion” instead of “million” in an interview can be misleading, intentional or not.

Data shows that RLUSD’s volume on decentralized exchanges over the last 24 hours was about $12 million and on centralized exchanges about $16.6 million — nowhere near the billions claimed.

So, while Ripple is pushing the narrative hard, it’s clear the numbers need a reality check. This is a classic example of “hopium” — hype mixed with wishful thinking — that sometimes clouds crypto discussions.

XRP Price Action: Stuck in the Friend Zone

Now let’s talk price. XRP is currently trading around $2.20, locked in a narrow range between $2.10 and $2.30 for months. This “friend zone” means there’s steady support but no breakout yet.

Zooming in on the candlesticks, you can see a few outliers in April and May with brief spikes, but the price quickly reverted back to the range. This range-bound behavior reflects the market’s cautious stance, waiting for a strong catalyst to push XRP higher.

Compare this to Bitcoin, which despite some scary dips (like the $76,000 drop in April), has been steadily approaching all-time highs, bolstered by billions in strategic reserve buying from institutional players.

XRP’s path to breaking out of the friend zone hinges on more players entering the strategic reserve game and, crucially, regulatory clarity. The companies Deaton mentioned are still waiting to start their big buys, holding back until regulations and interest rates settle.

How Strategic Reserves Support Crypto Floors

Strategic reserves aren’t just about price spikes; they provide a solid floor that helps prevent devastating crashes. Bitcoin’s strategic reserve buying is a prime example — it didn’t stop the April crash, but it cushioned the fall and accelerated recovery.

If XRP can attract similar strategic reserve interest, we might see the friend zone shift upward, from $2.10-$2.30 to $2.30-$2.50 or beyond. But this will take time, patience, and the right regulatory environment.

The US Market: The Real Power Player

Let’s face it — while Europe’s MiCA is a step forward, the real money and market-moving power still lie with the United States. The biggest crypto pumps coincide with U.S. elections, Federal Reserve announcements, and regulatory decisions.

The market watches Jerome Powell and the Fed like hawks. Interest rate moves and regulatory clarity from the SEC or CFTC can send shockwaves through Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and the entire crypto ecosystem.

Right now, the uncertainty about who will regulate crypto — SEC, CFTC, or some other body — keeps many institutional investors on the sidelines. Once this clears up, expect a flood of capital to enter the market, especially into assets like XRP, which is already showing strong volume and interest.

What’s Next for Crypto Investors?

  • Watch for Regulatory Clarity: The biggest barrier to huge price moves and strategic reserve buying is regulatory uncertainty. Keep an eye on updates from the SEC, CFTC, and global regulators.
  • Don’t Over-Rely on Charts: Charts are useful tools but don’t tell the whole story. Geopolitical events, regulations, and macroeconomic factors can override technical signals at any time.
  • Stay Skeptical of Hype: Claims like RLUSD processing billions daily need to be verified with actual data. Always dig deeper before buying into hype.
  • Consider Strategic Reserve Trends: Institutional buying patterns, especially in Bitcoin and XRP, are shaping price floors and long-term trends.
  • Keep an Eye on Volume: XRP’s massive daily volume is a sign of real market interest, making it a prime candidate for new investment products like ETFs.

Final Thoughts: The Waiting Game Continues

We’re in a classic crypto waiting game — the market is range-bound, the hype is high, but the juicy moves are on hold until more regulatory clarity and strategic capital flow in. MiCA’s first year shows regulation is necessary but not sufficient to spark a boom. Ripple’s RLUSD hype reminds us to keep our feet on the ground. And John Deaton’s strategic reserve insights give us hope that institutional interest in XRP is real and growing.

Bitcoin remains king, holding strong near all-time highs thanks to billions in institutional buying, while XRP waits in the friend zone, ready to move up when the right moment comes. For crypto investors, patience, skepticism, and an eye on the bigger macro and regulatory picture are the keys to navigating the next phase.

Keep your eyes peeled, stay informed, and don’t fall for the hopium. The crypto world is as exciting as ever — and the next big move could be just around the corner.

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