If you’ve been following the Bitcoin, crypto, and blockchain space for a while, you know how crucial it is to spot the signals that hint at the next big move. There’s a rare Bitcoin price action signal that has only flashed twice before—in 2017 and 2020—and each time it preceded an explosive surge in Bitcoin’s price. Now, this signal is flashing again, and with the massive differences this cycle brings, the upcoming move could be even more powerful.
In this deep dive, we’ll explore what this signal means, why it’s vital to watch, and how Bitcoin’s price has historically correlated with global money supply changes. We’ll also discuss what this could mean for crypto investors like you and me, including price predictions and potential altcoin season timing. Let’s unpack everything you need to know to position yourself ahead of the curve in this exciting crypto cycle.
The Hidden Force Behind Bitcoin’s Explosive Moves: Global Money Supply
Before we dive into the Bitcoin price signal itself, it’s essential to understand the bigger picture influencing all markets, including crypto: the global money supply. An international cartel of private central banks controls the supply of money circulating around the world. This includes familiar names like the US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, the People’s Bank of China, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, and many others.
These central banks have the power to create money out of thin air by simply adding numbers to their digital ledgers. This freshly created money is then funneled to their corporate, political, and government allies ahead of the public. This gives them an unfair advantage to invest in assets before prices reflect the increased money supply, a phenomenon called the Canton effect.
For example, when the pandemic hit, central banks fired up their money printers, and politicians loaded up on stocks before prices skyrocketed. By the time the average investor caught on, the insiders had already profited and quietly sold off their holdings before the market cooled off. This rigged system is out of our control, but understanding it helps us play the hand we’ve been dealt.
What Is the Canton Effect?
The Canton effect describes how those closest to the sources of new money—bankers, businesses, bureaucrats, and politicians—benefit by buying assets and goods before prices fully reflect the increased money supply. Essentially, they get “first dibs” on new money, gaining a price advantage at our expense.
Yes, it’s a terrible scam, but instead of griping, crying, or complaining, we can learn the rigged game and make the best out of it by positioning ourselves strategically in crypto and Bitcoin.
The Global Liquidity Index: A Rare Chart Every Crypto Investor Should Know
Now, let’s get to the core of this Bitcoin bull signal: the Global Liquidity Index, also known as the M2 Global Money Supply Year-Over-Year Growth. This chart aggregates data from the top 21 central banks worldwide and shows the growth rate of the global money supply. The chart overlays Bitcoin’s price as a white or red line for comparison.
Here’s how to read it:
- The red line shows the global money supply, which always increases over time due to central banks printing money.
- The blue and red shaded areas represent the growth rate of the money supply. Blue means the supply is expanding, red means it’s contracting.
- The white or red line tracks Bitcoin’s price across time.
The simple but powerful takeaway is this: when the money supply expands, risk-on assets like Bitcoin thrive and their prices rise. When the money supply contracts, Bitcoin and other risk assets often suffer price declines.
Bitcoin’s Historic Bull Runs and the Money Supply Correlation
Looking back at the 2017 and 2020 bull cycles, the correlation is uncanny:
- 2017 Bull Run: When the global money supply growth ramped up, Bitcoin soared from around $1,000 to nearly $20,000 — a staggering 1900% increase within the year. Then as the money supply contracted, Bitcoin fell back to around $3,000.
- 2020 Bull Run: After a sideways consolidation, the pandemic triggered massive money printing, and Bitcoin rocketed from roughly $5,000 to its previous all-time high of $69,000. When money printing slowed, liquidity dried up, and Bitcoin plunged to about $15,000.
These cycles show that Bitcoin’s price closely follows the global money supply’s expansion and contraction — a key signal to watch for predicting bull runs.
What Does the Current Chart Tell Us?
Fast forward to today: the global money supply has been relatively stable during the recent sideways consolidation period, but signs indicate it may be poised to expand again soon. Bitcoin has already started to surpass previous highs, reaching new levels around $111,000 in May 2025 in hypothetical projections.
Could this be the third time this rare bull signal flashes, signaling massive exponential gains ahead? According to Julian Biddle, head of macro research at Global Macro Investor, historical data projections suggest we are on the cusp of a steep upward breakout in global money supply growth — which usually leads Bitcoin by about 12 weeks.
Why Does Bitcoin Lag the Money Supply by 12 Weeks?
Bitcoin’s price typically follows the global money supply growth with a lag of about three months. This lag reflects the time it takes for new money to flow through the financial system and into risk assets like Bitcoin.
This consistent lead-lag pattern over the past two bull cycles has made the Global Liquidity Index one of the most reliable predictors of Bitcoin bull runs.
Preparing for the Next Bitcoin Bull Run
With this signal flashing again, it’s crucial to prepare with the right tools and strategies to make your crypto journey safer, easier, and more profitable. Here are some essentials recommended for every crypto investor:
- Uphold: A wealth management platform that holds your crypto and cash 100% backed and fully reserved. It connects to over 30 exchanges for the best prices and offers an FDIC-insured USD savings account with 4.5% APY.
- Cold Storage Wallets: Tangem offers an affordable, beginner-friendly cold wallet that sets up in 90 seconds, while Ledger Stax and FlexWads provide advanced security for serious investors.
- AI-Powered Trading: GoBaby Trade’s AI-driven robotic trader maximizes profits by capitalizing on market volatility passively. It’s a “set it and forget it” strategy ideal for long-term dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin.
When Will the Bitcoin Price Explosion Happen?
If the Global Liquidity Index projection holds, the money supply growth has likely bottomed out and is gearing up for a breakout. Given the 12-week lag, Bitcoin’s price could start its upward surge as soon as August or September 2024.
Following Bitcoin, altcoins typically experience their own season of rapid growth. Historically, Bitcoin leads the charge, and then altcoins follow, often exploding exponentially before crashing just as fast. This means once Bitcoin’s breakout begins, it’s crucial to be cautious during the altcoin season to avoid sudden drops.
What About Altcoin Season?
The most common question I get is, “When is altcoin season?” The straightforward answer is: when the money printer fires up and interest rates start dropping. These conditions create a risk-on environment where crypto assets thrive.
My educated guess? We’ll likely see altcoin season begin late summer 2024, possibly running through December. This timing aligns with the expected Bitcoin breakout and the typical lag before altcoins follow suit.
How High Could Bitcoin Go? Price Predictions for This Cycle
Let’s talk numbers. The bottom price of Bitcoin in 2022 was around $16,000. Using multipliers from previous cycles:
- Conservative 8x multiplier: Bitcoin could reach around $128,000.
- Mid-range 12x multiplier: Bitcoin could climb to approximately $192,000.
- Optimistic 20x multiplier: Bitcoin might surge to an astonishing $320,000.
However, this cycle is different. Institutional investors and even entire nation-states are now buying Bitcoin with bullish conviction. Regulatory clarity has improved significantly compared to previous cycles, and Bitcoin is no longer a mysterious new asset class but a recognized and regulated one. These tailwinds create a super favorable environment for Bitcoin’s price to soar even higher.
Smart money is already front-running this move, accumulating massive amounts of Bitcoin over the last year. The stage is set for a historic bull run.
Playing the Rigged Game Wisely
We live in a rigged global financial system where central banks control the money supply and insiders get early access to new money. But by understanding this system and monitoring key signals like the Global Liquidity Index, we can position ourselves to benefit rather than be left behind.
Follow the smart money, prepare with the right tools, and be ready to act when this rare Bitcoin bull signal flashes fully. The rocket to the moon and beyond could be launching soon, and it’s an opportunity to realize life-changing wealth in a relatively short time.
Remember, investing in crypto carries risks, so always make decisions based on your unique financial situation and risk tolerance.
Your Next Steps
- Consider setting up a secure crypto wallet like Tangem or Ledger to protect your digital assets.
- Explore AI-powered trading tools like GoBaby Trade to automate your investment strategy and capitalize on market volatility.
- Use platforms like Uphold for safe, liquid, and efficient crypto and cash management.
- Keep an eye on the Global Liquidity Index and Bitcoin price charts to monitor the unfolding bull signal.
- Stay informed about macroeconomic trends, central bank policies, and interest rate movements as they heavily influence crypto markets.
Playing this hand well could set you up for incredible gains during the next Bitcoin bull run. Let’s ride this wave together and make the most of the exciting future ahead!
Stay safe, stay informed, and happy investing!
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